Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.200697 0.228230 0.257757 0.291730 0.329691 0.370753 0.418480
2026-01-11 0.163609 0.200345 0.242354 0.293779 0.354848 0.424863 0.511014
2026-01-18 0.139325 0.181890 0.233328 0.299690 0.382626 0.482406 0.611046
2026-01-25 0.121829 0.168410 0.227523 0.307389 0.411727 0.542565 0.718084
2026-02-01 0.104813 0.152792 0.216493 0.306269 0.428357 0.587253 0.808095
2026-02-08 0.091202 0.139663 0.206742 0.304996 0.443565 0.630042 0.897537
2026-02-15 0.080038 0.128360 0.197895 0.303447 0.457365 0.670901 0.986098
2026-02-22 0.073049 0.122187 0.195430 0.310239 0.482727 0.728582 1.100761
2026-03-01 0.065358 0.113916 0.188816 0.309923 0.497160 0.771011 1.195623
2026-03-08 0.058873 0.106726 0.182981 0.309947 0.511591 0.813696 1.292651
2026-03-15 0.053372 0.100469 0.177889 0.310430 0.526331 0.857177 1.392702
2026-03-22 0.049439 0.096406 0.175881 0.315490 0.548278 0.912457 1.513214
2026-03-29 0.046204 0.093344 0.175458 0.323443 0.575963 0.979137 1.656693
2026-04-05 0.042398 0.088792 0.172006 0.325889 0.594606 1.032425 1.781883
2026-04-12 0.039615 0.085834 0.171054 0.332491 0.620535 1.098748 1.931406
2026-04-19 0.037362 0.083635 0.171229 0.341009 0.650162 1.172582 2.096846
2026-04-26 0.034083 0.078975 0.166346 0.339814 0.662462 1.217806 2.216705
2026-05-03 0.031132 0.074630 0.161623 0.338434 0.674147 1.262334 2.337284
2026-05-10 0.028455 0.070538 0.156981 0.336744 0.684973 1.305685 2.457650
2026-05-17 0.026970 0.068890 0.157071 0.344211 0.713194 1.380929 2.636967
2026-05-24 0.024866 0.065579 0.153414 0.343866 0.726443 1.429860 2.771801
2026-05-31 0.022992 0.062571 0.150099 0.343895 0.740287 1.480374 2.911575
2026-06-07 0.021328 0.059862 0.147161 0.344426 0.755037 1.533116 3.057584